A senior lecturer at the Political Science Department of the University of Ghana says for the NDC to win the elections, they’d have to secure at least 50% votes from the Eastern Region and 30% votes from the Ashanti Region.
Dr Isaac Owusu-Mensah said should that fail, then they have no other choice than to win the majority votes in both the Central and Greater Accra regions, which are noted for being swing regions.
Speaking on JoyNews’ Upfront, on Wednesday he said, “NDC must win Volta Region because the voter turnout is expected to be very high in Volta Region.
“They must win Volta Region, they must win the Greater Accra Region, they must win Central Region, Northern Region, Upper East and Upper West. They must get 50% of the votes from Eastern Region and 30% from Ashanti Region and they’re done.”
However, in the event that the NDC is unable to secure the 50% and 30% votes from the Eastern and Ashanti Regions respectively, they’d have to up their game in the Greater Accra Region and Central Region.
In previous elections, the NDC had targeted gaining those percentages from the Eastern and Ashanti Regions, which are predominantly NPP leaning but had failed.
“It means that the votes must be made from somewhere else. And where is that somewhere? That somewhere is Greater Accra and Central Region. So if they are unable to make 30% in Ashanti and 50% in Eastern, then they must up their game in the Greater Accra and Central Regions, so that’s the option that’s available,” the political analyst suggested.
However, host of the show, Winston Amoah, pointed out that the Greater Accra is notorious for voting for a different political party every eight years.
Implying that since the NPP is only now entering its second term, the likelihood of it amassing the majority votes in the Greater Accra Region is high.
To this, Dr. Owusu-Mensah stated that, that isn’t so.
According to him, people are most likely to vote according to government’s policies and how positively or negatively it impacted their lives.
He said, “The continuity or the otherwise is dependent on government policies that it has implemented in the last three and half years so for people to support you or reject you will certainly not be based on the electoral history but will be also be based on what you have done for me and what you did not do for me. This is what will do the trick for Greater Accra, whether for the NPP or the NDC.”