The Government of Ghana has expressed optimism about the future of the country and its solid growth prospects, as highlighted by ratings agency, Standards and Poor’s (S&P).
It therefore remains committed to its fiscal consolidation agenda.
In a statement by the Finance Ministry, government said “we remain absolutely confident in our resolve, in line with the President’s vision, to build a strong, resilient and prosperous entrepreneurial nation of a Ghana Beyond Aid”.
“Going forward, the government remains fully committed to restoring fiscal rectitude in public finances. The recently announced expenditure rationalization measure to decisively strengthen fiscal consolidation of the 2022 budget underscores the government’s resolve to address critical concerns over the economy, create jobs for the youth, obtain a positive primary balance and stabilize debt”, it added.
S&P on Friday 4th February affirmed Ghana’s Long and short-term foreign and local currency ratings at B- and maintained the outlook at Stable.
According to S&P, their decision to maintain Ghana’s ratings at B- with a stable outlook was predicated on several factors such as Ghana’s solid growth prospects with real Gross Domestic Product growth averaging 5.0% over the period 2022-2025 and the relative transparent and responsive political system.
In addition, S&P acknowledged that Ghana’s economy is one of the most open economies in Africa.
The Finance Ministry in a reaction to the rating said “the decision by S&P to maintain Ghana’s ratings at B- with a stable outlook underscores their broad recognition of the challenges to the global economy due to the COVID pandemic and the long road to recovery facing the global economy. Amidst these global challenges, their assessment on Ghana reflects the resilience of the Ghanaian economy and appreciation of the decisive policies that have been instituted to drive the recovery process.”
In particular, it stated that S&P took note of, and was re-assured, by the recent policy announcement by the government to further cut expenditure by 20% to reinforce the fiscal consolidation process, adding, in their view, this very decisive measure will help to ensure fiscal sustainability and stabilise debt but may slow down growth in the short term.”
S&P projects that with these measures, growth will then pick up again in 2023 and thereafter.
The Finance Ministry said “in their own assessment, S&P is confident that the fiscal measures planned for 2022 and beyond should result in a faster consolidation of the fiscal metrics than previously envisaged, including stabilization of the public debt trajectory.”
The S&P report identified some constraints that prevented an upgrade of Ghana Sovereign ratings which included the continuous uncertainty surrounding fiscal correction,
including the delayed approval of the e-levy bill to give assurances to the 2022 budget.
Other concerns such as high-interest cost and greater dependence on domestic financing sources given the worsening external financing conditions facing Ghana were also highlighted.
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