Audio By Carbonatix
The prolonged period of low central bank interest rates and rising debt in developed economies poses the greatest risk to financial markets in the medium-term, according to an International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive.
David Lipton, the IMF's first Deputy Managing Director, told reporters why the enduring trend of quantitative easing, implemented after the 2008 financial crisis to increase liquidity and encourage borrowing, now presents potentially harmful downsides.
"In financial markets, there are risks that come from having low interest rates for a very long time," he said. "That's affecting risk-taking behavior, it's affecting the market risk that capital markets participants have."
He also pointed to ever-mounting debt in both developed and emerging economies. "We are seeing some greater leverage in the corporate world, in some countries for households, so that rising indebtedness and that increase in market risk really is something that policymakers should keep an eye on."
According to the Bank for International Settlements, global corporate and household debt reached 138 percent as a share of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2016, compared to 115 percent in 2007, before the start of the economic downturn. The 2016 figure for advanced economies alone was 195 percent.
"We think monetary policy has to continue to be supportive, and it's important to find other ways through macro-prudential policies to make sure that the financial market risks are kept under control," Lipton said.
He said, "But it's also important to put in place policies that will support growth in the long run, because a stronger growth impulse over the long term is going to help modulate financial sector risk as well."
The IMF's current macroeconomic picture, meanwhile, is one of global recovery, in a process Lipton described as "lifting all boats together" and driven by policy support and recovery in commodity prices.
He said, "Our view is that in the longer term there's a need to boost growth because trend growth has been somewhat more sluggish. So despite the improved recovery, our message is that countries should take advantage of the opportunity of being in recovery to try and prepare for stronger growth ahead."
Latest Stories
-
Ghanaians entitled to propose constitutional changes – Charlotte Osei
44 seconds -
At 30, you lack the experience to be a President – Prof Agyeman-Duah
5 minutes -
One-year extension of presidential term unnecessary – Baffuor Awuah
10 minutes -
Sam George lauds coordinated crackdown on cybercrime in Tabora and Lashibi
16 minutes -
100 arrested in Accra’s Tabora in major Mobile Money fraud crackdown
20 minutes -
BOG put GH¢4.69bn into gold-for-oil, lost over GH¢2.1bn with no impact — Audits show
38 minutes -
CRC opted for broader reforms over abolishing ex-gratia – Charlotte Osei
55 minutes -
Mahama’s record shows four-year presidential term is sufficient – Inusah Fuseini
1 hour -
Four-year term enough for accountability – Inusah Fuseini
1 hour -
CRC Proposals: We were very mindful not to create problems while solving existing ones – Charlotte Osei
1 hour -
Ebo Noah’s ‘faith’ or Climate Change: Rains on Christmas eve and day in Ghana?
2 hours -
Dr Seidu Jasaw commissions CHPS facilities in Chaggu-Paala and Tuosa communities
2 hours -
Charlotte Osei describes CRC work as “a privilege of a lifetime”
2 hours -
Ablakwa inaugurates SMART classrooms for STEM education
2 hours -
Livestream: Newsfile discusses Constitution review report and AG’s ORAL drive
3 hours
