Audio By Carbonatix
Gold prices eked out gains on Thursday as recession fears dented risk sentiment, with traders tracking the latest on a bruising U.S.-China trade war as well as global central banks for direction on interest rates.
“Gold is taking strength from the impression that trade attitudes are hardening, and that China is likely to be less flexible after the way (U.S.) President Trump has changed his mind and message over the last few days,” said Nicholas Frappell, global general manager at ABC Bullion.
On the trade front, the Trump administration on Wednesday made official its extra 5% tariff on $300 billion in Chinese imports, and set collection dates of Sept. 1 and Dec. 15.
While Trump in recent days has toned down his aggressive China trade rhetoric, it has not translated to a retreat from the planned tariff hikes. It remains unclear whether U.S. and Chinese negotiators will resume in-person talks in September as previously suggested by U.S. officials.
Adding to the uncertainty was British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s move to suspend parliament for more than a month before Brexit.
Underscoring the gloomy global sentiment, yields on 30-year U.S. Treasuries and 10-year German bunds hit record lows on Wednesday.
The U.S. Treasury yield curve remains inverted, which is commonly considered a sign of an impending recession.
“There are very broad expectations all around the globe that the next move from the central banks would be a rate cut,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets, adding that this is very supportive of gold.
The U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central bank are expected to cut rates next month, while many investors believe the Bank of Japan could also join the fray if market sentiment weakens further.
Gold tends to appreciate on expectations of lower interest rates, which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
Markets are fully priced in for a quarter-point cut in interest rates by the U.S. Fed next month, and over 100 basis points of easing by the end of next year.
Indicative of market sentiment, holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, have increased by 6.6% this month.
Gold is biased to break a resistance at $1,546 per ounce and thrust to $1,568 before reversing the uptrend, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was little changed after rising 0.2% in the previous session.
Elsewhere, silver rose 1.2% to $18.56 per ounce, its highest since April 2017.
Platinum rose 1.5% to $913.86, while palladium was up 1.1% to $1,485.71 per ounce.
Latest Stories
-
‘I never said I’ll declare a state of emergency’ – President Mahama on galamsey
6 minutes -
Bobby Banson condemns EOCO’s attempted arrest of Nana Agyei Baffour Awuah
31 minutes -
When Kumasi begins to look like somebody is in charge
31 minutes -
Parliamentary probe into cocaine seizure would be a waste of time – Inusah Fuseini
37 minutes -
Cocaine seizure: Focus on Ghana’s reputation, not partisan blame – Osae-Kwapong
44 minutes -
Two Invitations, Three Interrogations: Did Baffour Awuah tell the whole story?
53 minutes -
Drug cartels may be seeing Ghana as easy route – Lenin Anane Agyei
2 hours -
Ghana risks gaining notoriety as drug-trafficking hub – Bobby Banson
2 hours -
Government dismissed my drug trafficking warning, then tried to arrest me – Ntim Fordjour
2 hours -
Day Two: 3rd Republic Bank-JoyNews Habitat Fair Clinic underway at Junction Mall
2 hours -
NACOC addressing inherited gaps in fight against drug trafficking – Deputy Director-General
2 hours -
Taekwondo goes to school as GTF launches five-region youth campaign
2 hours -
The issues Mourinho is struggling to fix at Real Madrid
2 hours -
Hundreds throng EducationUSA College Fair in Kumasi in pursuit of abroad studies
2 hours -
Drug bust: NACOC should be part of port inspection team – Twum-Barimah
2 hours