Audio By Carbonatix
Currently, the NPP as a party in opposition is strategizing to win the 2012 elections and form the next Government. The question that arises is what strategy the NPP should adopt in the selection of a running mate in order to maximize the votes it can win in 2012. In other words, does the NPP want to follow tradition or a strategy to win power? More than ever, this is one subject that has attracted so much debate. But to any well-meaning supporter of the NPP, one of the key factors that should receive utmost attention is how the choice will help Nana Addo and the NPP to win the election.
The big question that the flag bearer is confronted with is whether NPP’s tradition of a South/North combination has enough evidence of having the required votes to win elections as compared to the alternate option of partnering a Ga-Dangme for the sole purpose of garnering a lot of votes from the Ga Areas. It will be expedient that in order to answer this question appropriately, a careful analysis of past results be undertaken (see table below).
1) Although in 1996 NPP lost in all 3 northern regions as well as Greater Accra, the latter had 528,484 votes compared to 279,713 votes in Northern, Upper East and Upper West put together.
2) In 2000 and 2004 Greater Accra voted massively to bring President Kufuor and the NPP into power and at the same time demonstrated once again that this region always had more votes than the three northern regions together. However, in 2008 the party lost all of the coastal Greater Accra constituencies of Krowor, Ledzokuku, Dade Kotopon, Korley Klottey, Odododiodoo and Ablekuma South and thus found itself back in opposition. This confirmed that any party that wins Greater Accra especially the Coastal constituencies wins the general elections and vice versa. This is substantiated by the Economist Intelligent Unit report of December 14, 2011 which stated that “Greater Accra is a key region in any presidential poll, given the size of the population.” It cannot be disputed that the percent of NPP votes in the three northern regions show an increasing trend since 1996, but the increases in actual votes can be described as minimal compared to Greater Accra.
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