As far as I can tell, we may be okay and better than most of the world.
As I see it, this Covid-19 thing is well over for Ghana. And we simply have to make the official declaration when we become more confident and predicated on the data in the not too distant future.
We are just still anxious and careful because of the general uncertainty, ignorance and lack of clarity about the virus, disease profile our overall response outcome and data evaluation. But the evidence appear to be that we are okay and would officially be out of the woods sooner than most may realise.
Do consider that we have community penetration since January 2020 in Ghana. And that by today, April 12, 2020, we have less than 10 case fatalities per some 500 confirmed cases in a 30, 000 population.
Let us compare to Israel’s 103 case fatalities out of 7, 000 confirmed cases in an 8, 625, 727 population or Sweden’s 899 case fatalities out of 10, 483 confirmed cases in a 10.2 million population or Japan’s 132 case fatalities of 6, 141 confirmed cases out of 126.5 million people or the 21, 976 case fatalities of the nearly 600, 000 confirmed United States cases over a similar period.
These are countries that are more developed than Ghana with superior capabilities and resource to combat the pandemic, and that did deploy more effectively than Ghana did against the virus. From the data this far, we are not doing badly at all in Ghana or are we?
Or are we under reporting?
But so long as our hospitals or health centres are not overwhelmed with Covid-19 cases, the community cases and fatality isn’t that troubling when we have had this virus of 14-day incubation period since at least January 2020, the more reasonable explanation may be that many more of our people got the infection and already acquired immunity. And so we may have acquired herd immunity.
Globally, for every 1 symptomatic Covid-19 case, there are 4 other asymptomatic cases. Working that in the Ghanaian population may mean that many of our people may have contracted the virus over the past four months and may not have been aware even when their immune systems may have responded to overcome the viral invasion.
Going forward then, we simply have to maintain our guards, get on with and enhance the measures already in place, review and adapt data or response outcomes, while we learn to be less jittery about the health emergency.