A new poll by Global Info Analytics has placed Hajia Amina Adams as the clear frontrunner in the upcoming National Democratic Congress (NDC) parliamentary primary in the Ayawaso East Constituency, giving her a commanding lead over her closest rivals.

Hajia Amina Adams is the widow of the late Ayawaso East MP, Mahama Naser Toure.

According to the data released ahead of the primaries, Hajia Amina Adams commands 58 per cent of voter preference among delegates and party supporters surveyed, positioning her as the favourite to clinch the party’s ticket in the traditionally competitive constituency.

The survey results presented by Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics Mussa Dankwah on Thursday, February 5, show a wide margin between Hajia Amina Adams and the rest of the field:

The figures suggest a largely two-horse race, with Hajia Amina Adams and Ghana’s High Commissioner to Nigeria Baba Jamal accounting for a combined 90 per cent of stated voter preference.

Political analysts say Hajia Amina Adams’ strong showing points to broad grassroots appeal, effective constituency engagement, sympathy votes and growing confidence among party faithful in her ability to reclaim or retain the seat for the NDC in the 2024 general elections.

Her 26-point lead over Baba Jamal is seen as significant, particularly at this late stage of the primary season, although observers caution that last-minute shifts and turnout dynamics could still influence the final outcome.

Despite trailing, Baba Jamal’s 32 per cent indicates a solid base of support, reflecting his long‑standing political experience and visibility within the constituency and the party at the national level.

Analysts note that his performance in the primaries will depend largely on delegate mobilisation, voter turnout and the ability of his campaign to consolidate undecided voters before polling day.

The remaining candidates—Muhammed Ramne, Dr Yakubu Azindow and Najib Muhammed Sani—collectively account for 10 per cent of voter preference.

While their numbers are modest, their supporters could become influential if alliances or tactical voting emerge closer to election day.