Audio By Carbonatix
A common explanation for movements in the cedi is that the Bank of Ghana (BoG) “supplies dollars ” to influence the exchange rate. This phrase appears in commentary almost every week, yet it creates a misleading picture of how the exchange rate actually works.
The basic fact is straightforward: the Bank of Ghana does not create U.S. dollars — it creates cedis.
So when the Bank sells dollars on the market, it is not increasing the true supply of dollars in the economy. It is simply transferring part of its existing reserves to commercial banks in exchange for cedis.
And here is the part that really matters: those cedis are removed from circulation.
When the Bank sells USD, the amount of cedi liquidity in the system falls. With fewer cedis available, banks and businesses have less capacity to demand extra foreign currency. The pressure on the dollar eases not because more dollars suddenly exist, but because fewer cedis are chasing those dollars.
This is the actual mechanism behind exchange-rate movements in Ghana and the BoG's role.
The idea that the cedi strengthens because the Bank “supplies more dollars” focuses on the wrong side of the market. It directs attention to the dollar when the decisive factor is the supply of cedis. The Bank of Ghana influences the exchange rate primarily by tightening or loosening cedi liquidity — not by expanding the supply of foreign currency.
The data from 2025 makes this crystal clear. During the year, the growth of key monetary aggregates slowed dramatically. Reserve money growth, which was rising at over 60 per cent in March, fell into negative territory by September. Growth in total liquidity (M2+) also dropped sharply, falling from above 30 per cent early in the year to single digits by October. In simple terms, the supply of cedis was being squeezed.
At the same time, the cedi appreciated strongly. The exchange rate moved from about 14.1 Ghana cedis to the dollar in April to around 10.5–11.4 between August and October — a gain of roughly 30 to 40 per cent. The timing was not a coincidence. As cedi liquidity tightened, demand for dollars eased, and the currency strengthened.
This episode illustrates a broader lesson: exchange-rate stability in Ghana depends far more on domestic monetary conditions than on how many dollars the central bank can inject into the market. When the Bank tightens liquidity, the cedi firms; when liquidity expands too quickly, pressure on the exchange rate returns.
In short, the phrase “BoG supplies dollars” survives because it reflects what traders see during FX auctions, but it misses the deeper truth. The central bank does not strengthen the cedi by supplying dollars. It strengthens the cedi by withdrawing cedis, which reduces demand for foreign currency.
Understanding this distinction leads to a clearer view of exchange-rate dynamics — and ultimately, to better policy discussions.
Latest Stories
-
Chamber of Mines proposes sliding royalty of 4%-8%, removal of GSL amid high gold prices
2 hours -
Tesla cuts car models in shift to robots and AI
2 hours -
Prison officer jailed for having sex with inmate in UK
2 hours -
Anthony Joshua fights back tears as he opens up on tragic Nigeria crash
2 hours -
France moves to abolish concept of marital duty to have sex
3 hours -
I quashed my beef with AKA before his death – Burna Boy
3 hours -
Nicki Minaj calls herself Trump’s ‘number one fan’ and shows off gold card visa
3 hours -
China to relax travel rules for British visitors, UK says
3 hours -
Money, ‘godfathers’ and cultural stereotypes locking out women and youth from Ghana’s elections – GENCED
3 hours -
Melania Trump documentary not showing in South African cinemas
3 hours -
NPA Chief Executive meets staff to chart renewed path for 2026
4 hours -
Majeed Ashimeru joins RAAL La Louvière on season-long loan from Anderlecht
4 hours -
13 clubs punished for match-fixing in China
4 hours -
GNCCI applauds BoG’s Monetary Policy rate cut, urges banks to lower lending costs
4 hours -
‘Extraordinary’ Serena Williams refuses to rule out return
4 hours
