Sub-Saharan African nations affected by increasing public-debt levels and non-performing loans must take action to address rising vulnerability, the International Monetary Fund said.
About 40 percent of low-income countries in the region are now assessed as being in debt distress or at high risk of this, the IMF said Tuesday.
The median level of public debt exceeded 50 percent of gross domestic product at the end of last year. Ratios deteriorated due to large primary deficits and interest bills, which have almost doubled to 10 percent of revenue from about 5 percent in 2013, it said.
“Looking ahead, debt dynamics are susceptible to fiscal slippages, subdued growth outcomes, exchange-rate depreciations and tighter financing conditions,” the Washington-based lender said in its regional economic outlook.
The uptick in oil prices, impending elections and political transitions in many countries may reduce appetite for difficult reforms and could lead to further policy slippages.”
Rising Debt
The median level of public debt to GDP for sub-Saharan Africa is more than 50%
Source: IMF
Note: 2018 and 2019 are forecasts
Mozambique and Republic of Congo missed Eurobond payments in 2017, while countries including Cameroon and Zambia agreed or began talks on bailouts with the IMF. And since Namibia and South Africa were downgraded to junk, sub-Saharan Africa has been left without any investment-grade foreign-currency issuers.
Loan Concern
Rising non-performing loans are a threat to an economic recovery in the region where the IMF forecasts gross domestic product will expand 3.4 percent this year, less than the 3.9 percent estimated for global growth.
Increases in non-performing loans are “particularly large” among resource-intensive countries such as Angola, Mozambique and Republic of Congo, where weak economic activity has caused a decline in credit quality. They’ve also grown in places like Zambia, where government arrears have continued to affect the banking sector, the IMF said.
“Safeguards to address liquidity pressures in the banking sector, enhanced review of asset quality and prompt recapitalization of weaker banks should help preserve the banking sector’s ability to lend to the private sector,” the lender said.
The IMF is also concerned about a slowdown in private-sector credit growth in 2017. After accounting for inflation, this type of lending contracted in many countries and in nations such as Angola, Gabon and Zambia, it was negative even in so-called nominal terms, it said.
The deceleration of private-sector growth “poses a threat to recovery in the affected countries, where fiscal space became constrained by the rising public debt burden,” the IMF said.
Latest Stories
-
Former Hearts of Oak striker Kofi Kordzi optimistic the club will not be relegated
5 mins -
I met Godfred Dame twice in 2022 in the night – Jakpa tells court
18 mins -
Government allocates funds to clear Global Fund commodities at port
33 mins -
Ghana Athletics name contingent for Athletics Championship in Cameroon
35 mins -
Ghana Diaspora Student Awards Inauguration: A celebration of excellence and community
39 mins -
Form a Fiscal Council to check overspending – IEA to government
40 mins -
Ambulance trial: AG said his target was Dr Ato Forson, not me – Richard Jakpa
45 mins -
Jakpa’s tape admitted into evidence in ongoing ambulance trial
1 hour -
Gov’t hasn’t achieved satisfactory results despite commitment to galamsey fight – Nana Akomea
1 hour -
Ghanaian talent Obed Agyapong joins Belgian side Royal Antwerp FC
1 hour -
Camidoh tells his broken-heart story in ‘Nothing Lasts Forever’
2 hours -
Dortmund boss Terzic departs after asking to leave
2 hours -
Ambulance case: Ahiagbah criticises Minority’s boycott of Parliament
2 hours -
Why are we giving licenses to mine in forest reserves? – Nana Akomea
2 hours -
Plastic is everywhere in Ghana’s marine waters – Researcher
2 hours