On December 7, 2020, Ghana will be holding its eighth general election under the Fourth Republic. The election will elect a President and 275 parliamentarians. The New Patriotic Party (NPP) has been in government since January 7, 2017, and is fielding its leader and the current president, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, as its candidate, while the biggest opposition party, the National Democratic Party (NDC), is fielding John Dramani Mahama, who was President during 2013-2016.
There are nine other presidential candidates representing fringe parties and one independent candidate. This year’s election is taking place amidst the Covid-19 pandemic that has ravaged the entire world, with Ghana not being an exception, though having less severe experience. The election campaign has been based largely on issues in the parties’ manifestoes, which, unsurprisingly, contain loads of promises intended to woe the electorate.
Despite a few skirmishes between party supporters, the campaign, so far, has been quite peaceful. History tells us that the contest is actually between the two key parties, NPP and NDC, as the small parties invariably fare poorly in elections. Unfortunately, polling is not normally conducted ahead of Ghanaian elections to provide more certainty about the outcomes.
Moreover, we know that polls do not always get it right. It is to assist in predicting the outcome of the 2020 election and to reduce the elements of uncertainty and speculation that I decided to put this piece together. I do this by analyzing the results of the previous elections and factors that I consider to be key to determining Ghanaian election results. I invite you to come along for me to equip you with the information for you to predict the outcome of the election easily.