Former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia has maintained his status as the clear favourite to win the NPP presidential primaries in January, according to a new survey by Konrad Adenauer Stiftung (KAS) Ghana.

In its latest report, released on Tuesday, December 16, 2025, Dr. Bawumia retained his pre-primary status as the leading contender, recording an overwhelming 69.7 per cent lead over the other aspirants.

KAS conducted two separate polls—one among NPP delegates and another among the general Ghanaian population (non-delegates). In both surveys, Dr. Bawumia emerged as the leading candidate, although his advantage was more pronounced among party delegates.

Among NPP delegates, who go to the polls on January 31, Dr. Bawumia secured 67.8 per cent support, while his closest challenger, Kennedy Agyapong, polled 21.3 per cent. Dr. Bryan Acheampong followed with 6.6 per cent, while the remaining candidates—Dr. Osei Yaw Adutwum and Kwabena Adjei Agyapong—each recorded less than five per cent.

Among non-delegates, representing the general Ghanaian population, Dr. Bawumia polled 50.6 per cent, while Kennedy Agyapong secured 29.8 per cent. Dr. Bryan Acheampong recorded 8.7 per cent, with the remaining candidates polling in single digits.

Ahead of the NPP primaries, Dr. Bawumia has consistently led independent surveys on the race, most of which have placed him as the clear favourite to win the primaries and be retained as the party’s presidential candidate for the 2028 general election.

Demographics

According to Konrad Adenauer Stiftung Ghana, the survey included responses from over 5,000 NPP delegates and more than 13,000 citizens (non-delegates). The organisation said this reflects a highly inclusive and diverse national sample, with strong representation across all age groups, particularly those aged 26 to 55, and across urban, peri-urban and rural areas, with 41 per cent of respondents from rural communities.

The demographics also covered different educational and employment backgrounds, religious affiliations (74 per cent Christian and 22 per cent Muslim), and all major ethnic groups.

“These demographics ensure that the results reflect the views of a wide cross-section of Ghanaian society,” the report added.