Dr. Abudu Abdul-Ganiyu, Managing Partner at Emerging Markets Advisory Limited
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Policy advisory firm EM Advisory Limited has called for a fundamental restructuring of Ghana's economic landscape, arguing that the country's long-standing concentration of economic opportunities in Accra lies at the heart of recurring challenges such as flooding, traffic congestion, housing shortages and mounting pressure on public infrastructure.

In a presentation titled Decongest the Economy, Decongest Accra: A Tri-Pole Economy Model for Ghana, the firm contends that while engineering interventions remain necessary, they cannot permanently resolve the capital's urban challenges unless economic opportunities are deliberately decentralised.

The presentation comes against the backdrop of recent heavy rains that left several parts of Accra flooded, disrupting businesses, stranding commuters and once again exposing the vulnerability of the country's economic capital. For EM Advisory, however, the floods merely revealed a much deeper structural problem.

"Accra's floods, traffic, and housing crisis are not primarily engineering failures. They are economic symptoms," the presentation states.

According to the firm, Ghana has spent years treating the consequences of over-concentration instead of addressing the underlying cause. Roads are expanded, drains are reconstructed and flood mitigation projects are undertaken, yet the capital continues to experience worsening congestion because people continue moving there in search of economic opportunity.

"Accra's congestion problem is an economic geography issue long before it became a pure engineering problem," the presentation argues.

The economic magnet

EM Advisory says migration trends across Ghana consistently point to one reality: people move to where jobs exist.

For decades, Accra has remained the country's commercial and administrative centre, attracting businesses, industries, investors, government institutions and employment opportunities. As a result, thousands of young Ghanaians continue relocating to the capital every year in pursuit of work and improved living conditions.

The report notes that more than 70 percent of people migrating to Accra do so primarily for employment and economic survival rather than lifestyle preferences.

This sustained movement, it says, has transformed what was once a relatively compact city into a sprawling metropolitan area where formal residential developments exist alongside rapidly expanding informal settlements.

"Everybody, poor and rich alike, wanted a piece of Accra," the presentation observes, arguing that this relentless demand has often come with little regard for natural waterways, environmental planning or the city's physical limitations.

Numbers that tell the story

The report supports its argument with demographic data showing the extraordinary concentration of people within Greater Accra.

According to figures cited from the Ghana Statistical Service's most recent Population and Housing Census, Greater Accra is home to approximately 5.5 million people—about 18 percent of Ghana's population—despite covering only 3,245 square kilometres.

That translates into a population density of roughly 1,681 people per square kilometre, nearly twelve times the national average.

To illustrate the scale of the imbalance, EM Advisory compares Greater Accra's density to Bangladesh, widely recognised as one of the world's most densely populated sovereign states, with an average density of about 1,500 people per square kilometre.

The presentation argues that if every region in Ghana were as densely populated as Greater Accra, the country's population would approach that of the United States while occupying a land area comparable to that of the United Kingdom.

Such comparisons, it says, demonstrate the extent to which economic activity has become concentrated within one relatively small geographical space.

The report also notes that Greater Accra and the Ashanti Region together account for nearly two-fifths of Ghana's population, although Greater Accra occupies by far the smaller land area.

Employment remains the biggest attraction

Despite accommodating nearly one in every five Ghanaians, Greater Accra continues to absorb an even larger share of national employment opportunities.

The presentation highlights what it describes as the region's "employment-pull gap"—the difference between its share of national employment and its share of the country's working-age population.

Greater Accra records a positive employment-pull gap of about two percentage points, the highest in Ghana, indicating that it attracts a disproportionately large share of available jobs.

By contrast, several regions, particularly in northern Ghana, experience negative employment-pull gaps, meaning they have considerably fewer employment opportunities relative to the size of their working-age populations.

The presentation identifies Upper East, Northern, Upper West, North East and Savannah as among the regions with the largest employment deficits.

Those disparities are reflected in unemployment figures. Savannah, Upper East and North East regions record some of Ghana's highest unemployment rates—22.4 percent, 21.1 percent and 20.7 percent respectively—roughly double the unemployment rate recorded in Greater Accra.

According to EM Advisory, these figures help explain why migration towards the capital has continued for decades despite worsening traffic congestion, rising accommodation costs and periodic flooding.

Simply put, the report argues, people are not choosing Accra because it offers an easier life; they are moving because it offers greater prospects of earning one.

Beyond roads and drains

The presentation cautions policymakers against viewing Accra's challenges solely through the lens of physical infrastructure.

While investments in roads, drainage systems, bridges and flood-control projects remain important, EM Advisory argues that such interventions are likely to deliver only temporary relief if the underlying economic imbalance remains unchanged.

Every new road, drainage improvement or housing project, it says, is quickly overtaken by continued population growth driven by the concentration of jobs in one metropolitan area.

As long as opportunity remains heavily centralised, the report argues, demand for land, transport, housing and public services in Greater Accra will continue to outstrip supply.

A call for a new development model

To address what it describes as a structural national challenge, EM Advisory proposes a Tri-Pole Economy Model aimed at redistributing economic activity beyond the capital.

Rather than allowing one metropolitan area to shoulder the country's economic ambitions, the proposal advocates creating multiple competitive growth centres capable of attracting investment, generating employment and retaining skilled labour in different parts of Ghana.

The firm believes such an approach would gradually reduce migration pressures on Accra while stimulating more balanced regional development and strengthening the resilience of the national economy.

For businesses, a more geographically diversified economy could expand consumer markets, reduce operational bottlenecks associated with congestion and unlock new investment destinations. For government, it could ease pressure on infrastructure spending in the capital while accelerating development in underserved regions. For ordinary Ghanaians, the proposal promises a future in which access to jobs and economic opportunity is determined less by proximity to Accra and more by the potential of regions across the country.

The presentation concludes that unless Ghana deliberately redistributes where opportunity is created, the capital's infrastructure will remain under increasing strain regardless of how much is invested in roads, drains or flood-control systems. In EM Advisory's assessment, decongesting Accra ultimately begins with decongesting the national economy.

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DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.