Audio By Carbonatix
The Ghana cedi ended the fortnight with a mixed performance, as it came under seasonal pressures.
In the interbank market, the cedi depreciated by 0.91% to the US dollar to close at a midrate of GH¢10.98. The pound and euro also weakened, shedding 1.31% and 1.08% to settle at GH¢14.94 and GH¢12.97, respectively.
Conversely, in the retail market, the cedi strengthened 1.71%, firming from GH¢11.90 to GH¢11.70, while the pound and euro gained modestly, rising 0.32% and 0.73% to close at GH¢15.75 and GH¢13.65, respectively.
“We believe the cedi will face mild depreciation pressure over the next fortnight, driven by heightened seasonal foreign exchange demand as importers actively restock inventories amid typical quarter one dynamics”, said Databank Research.
The 4.0% depreciation of the cedi to the dollar reflected seasonality.
“We expect sustained importer demand for US dollar to continue exerting pressure on the currency in the near term. Against this backdrop, our forecast anticipates a GH¢10.95–GH¢11.10 trading range [interbank market] against the US dollar over the next two weeks, with healthy international reserves and elevated gold prices providing the Bank of Ghana sufficient capacity for targeted interventions to limit sharp depreciation”, Databank Research added.
Meanwhile, the cedi began this week, going for GH¢11.80 to one American greenback at the forex bureaus.
Its year-to-date gain stood at 4.0% to the US dollar.
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