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Britain's public finances are losing around £330 billion ($442 billion) a year due to weak economic growth, population ageing and ill health, according to estimates from a think tank that show the scale of the challenge facing the next prime minister.
The left-leaning Resolution Foundation said former Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, who is due to replace Keir Starmer in Downing Street on Monday, needs a new fiscal strategy to stop borrowing, public spending cuts and tax increases from becoming more painful.
About two-thirds of the £330 billion hole comes from a slowdown in economic growth per person since 2007, it said.
In a report into what it called Britain's two-decade fiscal funk, the Resolution Foundation also said:
- the triple lock system for increasing the value of state pensions should be replaced with a less expensive link to average earnings alone
- reforms are needed to replace fuel duty receipts which are being lost as drivers switch to electric cars
- increased investment in public services would counter a drop-off in productivity
- the impact of the Iran war has probably reduced the government's headroom against the current fiscal rules from £23.6 billion in March to £10 billion now.
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