Audio By Carbonatix
Gold prices could surge by about 30% to as high as $2,000 per ounce next year, according to David Roche, president and global strategist at Independent Strategy.
The price of spot gold currently stands at around $1,500 per ounce.
“What my gut says is that cause of the vilification of fiat currencies by central bankers, which is set to get worse — not better, people will look for an alternative currency,” Roche told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday.
“Gold is a good alternative currency because it’s safe, and because it costs nothing to own it compared to paying negative rates on deposits,” Roche said.
As a result, gold prices will likely touch $1,600 before the end of this year, before moving higher to $2,000 next year, he said.
Roche’s comments come amid policy moves at major central banks in the past month.
The U.S. Federal Reserve slashed its benchmark overnight lending rate to a target range of 1.75% to 2% in September. The European Central Bank also cut its main deposit rate to a record low of -0.5% and launched a large new bond-buying program in the same month.
In Japan, where the short-term interest rate target is already in negative territory, the Bank of Japan signaled a chance of easing in October.
“We are more eager to act given heightening global risks. We will scrutinize economic and price developments thoroughly at next month’s meeting to decide whether to ease,” the central bank’s governor Haruhiko Kuroda told a news conference after the BOJ’s policy announcement in September.
Roche said central banks are now “quite rightly worried” about the next downturn after failing to achieve their inflation targets.
Instead of saying they’ve done enough, Roche said, central banks are saying, “Yes, we do need to spend lots of fiscal money but by the way, we can help. So actually, the government spends and we can supply the money. And we just run up bank balances between the two of us, which we can always write down.”
“That’s the new system now ... that I think is exactly what’s gonna happen,” Roche said. “That’s why I buy gold.”
Latest Stories
-
Trade Minister applauds GUTA as a pillar of economic growth; Prez Mahama honoured
48 minutes -
President’s brother’s takeover of Damang Mines is ‘untidy’ – Alhassan Tampuli
54 minutes -
It’s not true that gov’t decided not to renew the lease for Gold Fields – Bobby Banson
58 minutes -
Ghana to boost tomato production with 60-hectare irrigated farms and processing initiatives
1 hour -
E&P’s takeover process of Damang Mines was very clean – Inusah Fuseini
1 hour -
Damang takeover: There is not going to be any job loss; it is a lease change – Bobby Banson
2 hours -
Gold Fields didn’t stop mining at Damang mines; such claims are untrue – Bobby Banson
2 hours -
Engineers and Planners currently operate only in Ghana – Bright Simons
2 hours -
Lands Minister has no legal basis to restrict lease to Ghanaian firms – Bright Simons
2 hours -
Gov’t’s refusal to renew Gold Fields’ lease was simply untenable – Bright Simons
2 hours -
SOS Children’s Villages Ghana deepens partnership with Gender Ministry
3 hours -
Gender Ministry celebrates Christina Koch, reaffirms commitment to empowering girls
3 hours -
Live stream: Newsfile digs into E&P’s takeover of Damang Mines, OSP powers and Anti-LGBTQ Bill
3 hours -
Moody’s maintains Ghana’s rating at Caa1, revises outlook to positive
4 hours -
Zambia elevates tourism education to national priority as President Hichilema backs continental summit
4 hours