Audio By Carbonatix
Hong Kong’s rolling political turmoil could prove a tipping point for the world economy, Harvard University economist Carmen Reinhart said.
Noting an incidence of shocks that have rattled global growth, including the intensifying U.S.-China trade war, Reinhart cited Hong Kong as among her main concerns.
“One shock that is concerning me a great deal at the moment is the turmoil in Hong Kong,” which could impact growth in China and Asia generally, Reinhart said in an interview with Bloomberg Television’s Kathleen Hays.
“These are not segmented regional effects, these have really global consequences. So what could be a tipping point that could trigger a very significant global slowdown, or even recession -- that would be a candidate, that could be a candidate,” said Reinhart, who specializes in international finance.
Anti-government protests that began nearly three months ago are pressuring Hong Kong’s economy, which already was being squeezed by China’s slowdown and the trade war.
The academic’s warning comes days after Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren said Hong Kong’s crisis is on his global worry list.
“There are clearly problems in Hong Kong that could spill over in a broader sense into international markets,” Rosengren told Bloomberg Television this week. It’s “one of the great global cities so we do have to be concerned about how that all gets resolved.”
On Tuesday, U.S. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who authored a 1992 law that granted special trading privileges to Hong Kong, wrote in the Wall Street Journal that the Senate “will reconsider that special relationship, among other steps, if Hong Kong’s autonomy is eroded.”
Reinhart, who previously has warned that Hong Kong faces a housing bubble, said the world economy could be hit by “shocks with a bang or with a whisper,” she said. Those risks include a dramatic China event that sparks capital flight and a weaker yuan and spills over onto the region.
“The less dramatic part, but nonetheless very real, is already taking a situation that was weaker, where we have seen a slowdown of significant proportions, and just making it worse,” Reinhart said.
Economists say new tariffs that U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened on $300 billion of Chinese goods would drag China’s annual economic growth below 6%, according to a Bloomberg survey, which would be the slowest expansion since 1990.
Latest Stories
-
Multimedia Group joins Sammy Gyamfi to mourn late father-in-law
7 minutes -
Arsenal heartbreak as PSG win shootout to retain UCL title
50 minutes -
Fans go wild at Hitz FM Rep Ur Jersey as PSG retain UCL title in penalty thriller
58 minutes -
Gold Fields touts US$5bn investment, says over 70% of Ghana revenues stay in-country as mining lease debate intensifies
2 hours -
Xenophobia: NUGS President warns of mass action if gov’t renews Gold Fields lease
2 hours -
Photos from 2026 Hitz FM Rep Ur Jersey
3 hours -
Sterling arrested on suspicion of drug-driving
4 hours -
Ageing fire tenders, lack of hydrants threaten emergency response in Tema Region
4 hours -
Fans defy rain to watch Champions League final at Hitz FM Rep Ur Jersey
4 hours -
Bijou Homes showcases affordable living at 2026 Open House Fair
4 hours -
Barker-Vormawor challenges legitimacy of Anti-LGBTQ+ Bill approval
5 hours -
African Games audit findings are too serious to ignore; officials must answer – NITA Boss
5 hours -
An open letter to the President of the Republic of Ghana
5 hours -
Fans flood Aviation Social Centre for Hitz FM’s Rep Ur Jersey ahead of Champions League final
5 hours -
Kojo Antwi and Meiway set London ablaze with historic live concert at Dominion Centre
6 hours