The world is witnessing a volatile and unprecedented moment as Israel's conflict with Iran intensifies. However, what transpires between the United States and Iran could be even more consequential. This follows a US bombing of the Islamic Republic after weeks of Israeli strikes targeting Iran’s air defences and nuclear infrastructure. For many Ghanaians, this distant escalation—alarming the world—feels all too close to home.

The Human Cost: Beyond Geopolitics

This is not just a matter of diplomacy and missiles. It affects food and fuel prices in Ghana. When war erupts in oil-producing regions, global oil prices soar. For instance, Brent crude oil prices have surged by 10% since the conflict began, now hovering between $70 and $78 (approximately GHS 720.30–802.62) per barrel—well above pre-conflict levels. This translates directly into higher fuel costs at Ghanaian pumps, triggering a ripple effect from transportation to the price of basic groceries.

The Government of Ghana has responded by suspending a fuel levy, underscoring how seriously officials are tracking the economic fallout. President John Dramani Mahama has acknowledged that Ghana is not insulated from global shocks. He has tasked his Finance and Energy Ministers with monitoring the situation and preparing interventions to cushion Ghanaians from price surges at the pump.

A study by the University of Ghana confirms a direct correlation between global oil price hikes and inflation in the country, showing how quickly this deadly Middle East crisis can affect everyday life in Ghana.

A Family Crisis

Beyond economics, there is a deeply human story. Many Ghanaian families are anxious for the safety of loved ones caught in the conflict zone. Ghana has already evacuated its citizens from Iran to Turkey, including diplomats, students, and professionals. Foreign Affairs Minister Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa confirmed the evacuations, remarking, “Each call is a blessing, to hear that they're safe.”

As of June 2025, there are 922 Ghanaians residing in Israel, including 65 students. The Mahama administration is putting measures in place for their safe evacuation as well. Imagine the sleepless nights, the tense phone calls, and the worried faces in market stalls. This conflict is not just about geopolitics; it’s about people—families separated, security upended, dreams postponed.

“It is very scary. I urge you to be extremely cautious. Let’s remain vigilant from today. I’m in a lift on my way to the bomb shelter—every house in Israel has one. We cannot even sleep in the afternoon because of the explosions,” recounted a Ghanaian woman in Israel, whose chilling story of rushing to shelter has since gone viral.

A recent report by Crisis24, a global risk management firm, reveals that widespread flight cancellations and airspace closures across the Middle East have made air travel—especially for family reunions—riskier than ever.

Global Players, African Voices

The United Nations has now raised the alarm. Secretary-General António Guterres warned that the region is heading into “a rathole of retaliation after retaliation” and has urged all parties to cease fire.

The African Union (AU) has gone further. Expressing “deep concern” over the crisis, AU Chairperson Mahmoud Ali Youssouf has called for AU intervention and a renewal of negotiations. “The conflict is now a serious threat to international peace and security,” he said.

While the majority of African countries support de-escalation and diplomacy, their responses vary. South Africa and Mauritania have led the way in condemning Israeli attacks, while others such as Kenya and Nigeria have taken more measured positions—calling for restraint while avoiding direct condemnation. This highlights the continent’s diverse political identities and complex diplomatic alignments.

Africa, long influenced by historical allegiances and economic considerations, is no longer just a bloc, but a mosaic of 54 sovereign states navigating the global stage on their own terms.

Ghana's Balancing Act

Ghana’s long-standing tradition of non-aligned diplomacy has taken on renewed importance in this fractured international landscape. The country maintains cordial relations with both Israel and Iran, carefully balancing strategic interests.

This was exemplified earlier this month when Ghana abstained from the IAEA special vote on Iran’s non-compliance with nuclear commitments. The move, seen as calculated neutrality, is designed to safeguard bilateral relations and reduce domestic political tensions.

Minister Ablakwa defended Ghana’s stance, affirming that its foreign policy aligns with the 1992 Constitution and reflects a commitment to peacebuilding and international law. Ghana has also welcomed diplomatic overtures between Europe and Iran, while encouraging Israel to participate in peace talks.

Still, neutrality does not equate to indifference. Economists warn of trade disruptions across Africa, threatening key sectors such as oil, gold, and tourism. Dr Alex Vines of Chatham House noted, “Ghana is by no means immune to what’s going on in the Middle East.”

The conflict has also reignited debate in Ghana about refining its own crude oil. Economist Dr Paul Appiah Konadu remarked, “We are lifting about 160,000 barrels per day—enough to meet domestic demand—but we export it all, only to import refined products at higher prices. It doesn’t make economic sense.”

The Tema Oil Refinery (TOR) is aiming to return to full capacity by October, with the goal of processing up to 60,000 barrels per day—covering 45–60% of Ghana’s daily needs. This move marks a step toward energy independence, though significant hurdles remain. The crisis has made it clear: Ghana must invest in long-term self-reliance.

A Call for Peace

The path forward remains uncertain. Former US President Donald Trump’s open call for “regime change” in Iran has further complicated global diplomatic efforts. While US officials say they are open to renewed talks, the signals remain mixed.

For Africa, and for Ghana, the message is sobering: geographical distance does not shield nations from the impact of global conflicts. The price of kenkey and tro-tro fares is now linked to bombs falling in the Middle East.

Peace is not just a regional aspiration. It is a global necessity. And for Ghana, the urgency of pursuing diplomatic solutions that protect its people and economic stability grows louder by the day.

This escalating war is a stark reminder that in today’s globalised world, conflicts in faraway lands can upend the lives of ordinary Ghanaians. It should prompt a national conversation—not only about energy and economic resilience—but about foreign policy grounded in peace, foresight, and the protection of Ghanaian lives.