
Audio By Carbonatix
The World Bank on Wednesday cut its economic growth forecast for sub-Saharan Africa for 2019 to 2021 by 0.2 percentage points from its earlier projection, citing a slowdown in fixed investment and policy uncertainty in the global economy.
The bank said the region’s economy was expected to grow 2.6% this year, from a 2.8% projection in April. It said growth would rise to 3.1% in 2020 and 3.2% in 2021.
“Despite some improvements, the external environment is expected to remain difficult and uncertain for the region,” the bank said in its October Africa’s Pulse report.
China and the United States, the world’s leading economies, this year imposed new tariffs on each other’s goods as part of a long-running dispute over Beijing’s trading practices, which Washington says are unfair.
Those tensions, plus softening global growth and falling commodity prices, compounded by the slow pace of reforms in African countries, “are weighing on activity across the region”, the bank said.
On the continent, drought, security threats, increases in the cost of public borrowing and private investment are also slowing growth.
Nigeria, South Africa and Angola, which make up about 60% of sub-Saharan Africa’s annual economic output, are all facing various impediments, the bank said.
Nigeria’s economy is expected to grow 2.0% this year, compared with the previous forecast of 2.1% in April and to expand 2.1% percent in 2020 and 2021, which are 0.1 and 0.3 percentage points lower than the April forecasts, respectively.
“The medium-term growth outlook continues to be constrained by a weak macroeconomic policy environment and slow policy implementation,” the bank said, citing multiple exchange rates, foreign exchange restrictions, high inflation, and low non-oil revenues among other obstacles.
South Africa’s economy will expand 0.8% this year, from a 1.3% forecast in April, and growth will rise to 1.0% in 2020 from the bank’s April forecast of 1.7%, the bank said.
It said it made the cuts in its forecasts for South Africa due to the sharp slowdown in GDP growth in the first quarter of this year, low investor sentiment, and persistent policy uncertainty, including whether a solution could be found for state power firm Eskom.
The bank said Angola’s economy will grow 0.7% this year, from a World Bank projection of 1.0% in April.
The rest of Sub-Saharan Africa excluding Nigeria, South Africa and Angola is expected to grow 4.0% this year from the World Bank’s 4.4% projection in April, and 4.7% next year and 4.8% in 2021 in line with its April forecasts.
The bank said the proportion of African countries determined to be in debt distress or in high risk of external debt distress had doubled, but the pace of deterioration had reduced.
Latest Stories
-
Treasury bill rates edge up in latest BoG auction
14 minutes -
Ghanaian students abroad to hold global forum on national development
18 minutes -
Alcohol, drugs are not the solution to stress – doctors caution
22 minutes -
TWMA urges youth to avoid drugs during Homowo celebrations
27 minutes -
UBIDS School of Law among 19 schools to run one-year pre-bar course
31 minutes -
Opoku-Agyemang receives update on Ghana National Research Fund
35 minutes -
Mahama underscores importance of faith
40 minutes -
Government allocates ¢100m annually for special needs education
46 minutes -
China sentences official to death for taking $325m in bribes
59 minutes -
Ecobank joins The Build Project as official financing partner
1 hour -
Why some Ghana and other African nations are turning down Trump aid money
1 hour -
An open letter to the President: The excavators are back…
1 hour -
More than 373,000 US customers without power due to extreme weather
1 hour -
Harry Styles receives Guinness World Record for longest Wembley Stadium run
1 hour -
When the flood receives your home address
2 hours