Global InfoAnalytics has projected a parliamentary victory for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the December 7 elections.

According to the latest forecast, the NDC is expected to win approximately 150 seats, securing a majority in the 275-seat legislature.

The New Patriotic Party (NPP) is predicted to take 99 seats, while one seat is projected to go to an independent candidate. A further 29 constituencies remain too close to call, highlighting the competitive nature of the race.

On the presidential front, the report forecasts victory for the NDC leader, John Dramani Mahama, who is projected to secure 52.2% of the vote.

• Read also: Election 2024: Mahama projected to win 52.2%, NDC to dominate parliament – Global InfoAnalytics

His closest rival, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia of the NPP, is expected to garner 41.4%. Other candidates, including Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako, are predicted to receive 2.5% and 3.0%, respectively, with 0.9% going to other contenders.

The report places Mahama as the likely winner in 10 regions, including Greater Accra, Central, Volta, and Northern, while Bawumia is predicted to dominate in regions like Ashanti, Eastern, and North East.
Key Trends and Factors

The analysis attributes the NDC’s projected parliamentary gains to shifting voter sentiment in key constituencies, coupled with economic and social factors influencing public opinion.

The forecast suggested an overall voter turnout of 77.6%, with regional variations expected to play a crucial role in determining final outcomes.

With 29 parliamentary seats deemed too close to call, both major parties face critical battles in swing constituencies.

The NPP’s retention of these seats will be essential to narrowing the projected gap.