Audio By Carbonatix
The Governor of the Bank of Ghana has downplayed projections by London-based Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) that the Ghana cedi could witness another round of serious depreciation in the coming months.
Dr. Ernest Addison said, “I don’t think that these projections are plausible especially projecting the exchange rate for three years that is really a daring thing to do and you will find that such projections more often than not do not turn out to be correct because the horizon is too far out.
He added, “But I can tell you that our objective is to keep the cedi as stable we can and also keep our inflation on target. We should expect that the cedi would remain stable over the short to medium term on the basis of that fact that we are currently fairly well positioned in terms of the level of international reserves we have.”
The Governor was speaking at the Monetary Policy Committee’s Meeting press conference which announced the central bank’s decision to hold the policy rate at 16 per cent.
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted that the Ghana Cedi will hit GH¢6.50 to US$1 by 2023.
This was contained in EIU’s country report on Ghana which was released on 13 May 2019.
In his briefing notes, the editor of the EIU report, Nathan Hayes, stated that: “The cedi will remain prone to periods of volatility, given the ongoing domestic economic weakness of high dependence on commodity prices. From an average of GH¢4.58: US$1 in 2018, the currency will weaken to GH¢6.50: $1 in 2023”.
The EIU said it now expects the cedi to average GH¢5.31 to $1 in 2019, from GH¢5.20 to US$1 previously, with depreciation driven by the government’s fiscal position, together with the large current account deficit and increased political uncertainty before the 2020 elections.
“We have revised down our inflation forecast for 2019, to 9.6% from 10.9% previously, as the broader downward trend in inflation from its 2016 highs continues and as the higher base effects from 2018 temper the growth rate more than we previously envisaged,” the report added.
DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.
DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.
Latest Stories
-
Ukraine accused of killing four in occupied Crimea
32 seconds -
2026 WAFCON: Asamoah Gyan inspires Black Queens with training visit
2 minutes -
US House delivers rebuke to Trump as it votes to halt Iran war
9 minutes -
Accra Floods: Water retention systems are compromised – GhIE President
9 minutes -
PFAG backs rice import quota policy, demands urgent action over worsening rice glut
13 minutes -
Trump to nominate Blanche for attorney general on permanent basis
16 minutes -
MoGCSP launches 2026 Blue Day media campaign to tackle sports trafficking in Ghana
29 minutes -
GIS secures 7-year jail term for Nigerian woman convicted of human trafficking
38 minutes -
Workplace Flexibility during the ongoing rains
40 minutes -
The photocopy machine operator will save us
48 minutes -
2026 World Cup: Black Star Balloon Tour launched to rally nationwide support
49 minutes -
Woman dead in Adenta New Site building collapse
60 minutes -
Heavy gunfire in Somali capital as row over election delay escalates
1 hour -
SpaceX says it’s worth $1.75tn as it targets largest stock market debut
1 hour -
No arrest in connection to Accra Central fire outbreak – Police clarifies
1 hour